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Friday, May 23, 2008

Should I Purchase Digots even if I am above the 50% ratio?

Anyone who has been involved with DXSynergy for any length of time knows we are constantly tested on our ability to adapt to changes. Some of these changes are more difficult to understand than others. One of the hardest things we face is developing a new strategy at any given time. But, if we look at it one part at a time, it's really not that bad. With that said, I want to go over one of the more popular questions regarding digot purchasing, as mentioned in the title.

Right now, we need to be focusing on getting our DXDU (DXDebit Used) to 50% or less. There are some great articles out there that can help you do this, with or without using the reduction tool. In this article I just want to focus on how digot purchasing can and will affect your TDV (Total Digot Value) and DXDU%, so let's get to it.

The answer to the title question is yes and no. Everyday you are given a certain amount of EOS (End Of Session) credits which immediately go to your Reserve. Any money in your Reserve would serve you well if you purchased digots. This would cause your TDV to rise and it would improve your DXDU% immediately. Also, at EOS you will have an increase in your DXDA (DXDebit Available).

So yes, feel free to spend your EOS credits (or anything in your Reserve) on digots! But you may also wonder, how often. In general, everyday would be fine. In fact, this is a good idea so that this money can be working for you, rather than just sitting there. There are though, 2 exceptions to this I would like to mention.

One, do not buy digots on a day that premiums are high. By high, I mean above 10%. It will serve you well to wait a couple or even a few days to get a better deal. Two, if you are planning to use the reduction tool, you may want to consider saving up your EOS credits until after you use this tool. You will then have an immediate increase in your TDV once you spend them. If you spend your EOS credits just before using the reduction tool, you will lose some of its value as your TDV is lowered.

Clearly, it is in your best interest to spend your EOS Credits on digots regardless of what DXDU% you are at. But, what about spending your DXDA on digots? Technically, we can no longer do this since we cannot transfer DXDA to Reserve anymore. However, we could get around this by performing an OutXchange/InXchange. Is this to our benefit? Not really. The moment you do an OutXchange your DXDU% will rise (possibly dramatically) and although if you bring it back in to purchase digots would lower it some, it will not be enough to get you back were you were.

It is these types of actions that will raise your DXDU% continually, causing your OA fees to increase and gains to decrease, which affects the entire system and everyone in it. We now know this information as fact, because we all are experiencing this in some way as it affects us all. But, if we all do our part now, we will all benefit in a long, profitable future with DXSynergy.

by Chad Curl

Thursday, December 6, 2007

Calculating Your DX Profits

G2 Session 375


In order for results to be meaningful, everyone must calculate their gain the same way.

How to calculate your session gain for this poll -
  1. Log in to DXIO
  2. Using the MNM, select Personal >> Portfolios >> Detail By Session
  3. Step 1: Select the portfolio you wish to vote on (sorry there is no way to cast multiple votes)
  4. Step 2: Select the session as indicated in the title of this thread
  5. Step 3: Ensure that 'Display Historical Totals' is set to Yes (the others can be Yes or No)
  6. Click [View Records] and you will see a screen similar to the following -

With the values displayed in the green and yellow areas indicated, calculate as follows -
yellow \ green * 100 ... yellow divided by green multiplied by 100
eg: 28.7452 / 12,382.7156 * 100 = .2321 or .23%


NB: For multiple portfolios, add all green TDV's and yellow EOS Price Increase's

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Dx In One 101: The Two Ways You Make Money In The DxInOne "Portfolio" System

There are two ways DxinOne provides portfolio growth that is far superior to traditional investment programs. They are as follows:

1- By providing the ability to make multiple 'virtual' deposits based on an ongoing "Line of Credit" Note Oct 14 - after reading this section, I would advise you to go to Click Here to go a further discussion on this matter.

2- By providing daily [vs. yearly] compounding growth on your balance.

Let's start with the second item.

Imagine you are one of those people who actually saves money. How is this most commonly accomplished? What you do, usually, is take some of your hard earned money to your local bank and deposit it in a retirement or savings account. There your deposit collects interest, usually based in yearly gains, like 3% or 4% interest a year [and this is high-end these days, in mid 2005].

Maybe you make one deposit to your savings plan a year. Maybe one deposit a month (for 12 a year) or if you're really good, you might make a deposit to your savings every paycheque, like every two weeks. In the first case you make one deposit a year, in the second case you make twelve, and the third case, you make about twenty-five over the course of the year.

But what if you could make about DxInOne0 deposits a year? This is exactly what DxInOne allows for - potentially - and they literally give you the other 329. In the DxInOne system, if you make a deposit, of say fifty dollars, you are entitled to make other deposits on the following days based on a percentage of your original fifty dollar deposit.

You may think of those later deposits as "Lines of Credit" that are made available to you daily [- and they are Lines of Credit that you don't have to pay back!] Because of this, I was able to deposit another thirty-seven dollars into my account on Day 2, another twenty-seven on Day 3, and twenty-one on Day 4. When combined with my original deposit of $50, what this means is that by the end of Day 4, my balance had risen to $135! By the fourth day in Dx my return has already risen to $135, for a growth factor of not 4%,but 170%... By Day 24 it was up to $360.

Keep in mind that in our traditional scenario, the $50 deposited would rise to only $52 after one year at 4% return by year's end, which is probably more than you could get anywhere in Summer 2005. So, this is the first thing that makes the DxInOne portfolio opportunity truly extraordinary, a single deposit leads to many, many others.

In DxInOne jargon, your deposit total is known as your TDV, which means total digot value. Digots are DxInOne's unit of currency by the way, more on that later. Think of your DxInOne TDV as 'virtual equity'.

Because you can make so many deposits, your balance can quickly boom to astronomical levels that pay huge sums of real money daily.

Now, Let's look at the other way you make money with DxInOne. This is the first item listed above.

Remember that at our bank our single $50 grew to $52 at years end by gaining 4%?

With Dx, your overnight growth historically averages 0.3% - that's daily.

With 4% per year, you get one instance of compounding a year.

With Dx, you get 365 instances of compounding at 0.3%.

The growth curve here is staggering.

If our $50 deposit grows by 0.3 a day, a year later it is worth $149, not $54 dollars. It would take several decades for a traditional account paying 4% to build to $149.

From this we can see that even this second way of making money with DxInOne is vastly superior to what the traditional consumer market is offering.

THE REALITY WITH DXINONE IN LATE 2005

When I first signed on to DxInOne, everybody was not only earning these overnight gains, but they were also placing 'virtual deposits' to the maximum possible extent allowed for by the DxInOne system. Then in July 2005 DxInOne abruptly imposed restrictions on people's ability to do this (in order to prevent hyper-inflation).

This turned out to be the first of several changes intended to curb portfolio growth. The effect this has had is that now people are making far less of these 'virtual deposits' than they did before.

The reason why people are curtailing their portfolio growth is because each month a portfolio owner is required to pay fees that are a direct measure of their TDV or portfolio balance. In theory, these fees can generally be paid from within a portfolio balance's monthly growth. (That is, if your balance grows by $1,000 in a given month, your fees will be less than this, leaving you with a net profit.)

In order to pay your fees from within your account's growth, you now must move the required funds out of the system and then back in by the end of the month, when the fees are due. This, unfortunately, is not so easily accomplished at this time.

The current problem boils down to liquidity, which refers to a system's ability to provide cash as soon as you want it. (ATM's have better liquidity than banks because you can walk right up and get your cash any day of the week. Banks are closed on weekends, meaning it is impossible to get your cash out of the system on those days.)

These days it is taking several weeks to a month or two to pull your money out of DxInOne, whereas in normal times it generally takes anywhere from a few hours to a few days. Therefore, if you can't cycle your DxInOne "fee money" out and back into the system before fees are due, you need to pay the fees out of pocket. Predictably, it doesn't take any time to move 'new' money into DxInOne.

So, managing portfolio growth becomes a function of self-regulation. While overnight growth is virtually guaranteed with DxInOne, it is up to the client to make sure that one takes care to not overextend when it comes to making those 'virtual' deposits.

Next Chapter: Moving your money through the Dx System

The author (who when online prefers going by the handle Mr. E) has just put out a site called "Surf At My Dot Com - http://www.surfatmy.com -" which he hopes will evolve to include a listing of "unique and/or very cool" sites found on the Net.

Thus far Mr E has found three places that meet his stringent qualifications, all in the realm of online money making.

This is no coincidence.

While Mr E is most enthusiastic about what he's found so far, he feels (at the moment anyway) that this is neither the time nor place for flagrant self promotion. To that end he wishes to refer you to http://www.surfatmy.com.

However Mr. E does want it to be known that he's much more than a materialist.

To this end he would welcome any and all suggestions about sites of quality pertaining to areas other than money - and the usual exclusions do apply.

Saturday, August 4, 2007

Developing your own strategy for a successful online currency trading

Developing your own strategy for a successful online currency trading is as important as your investment decisions. Online currency trading without a strategy is to rely entirely on chances for your success or failure. Making the right trading decisions and developing a sound and effective trading strategy is therefore the most important foundation of forex trading.

For developing an online forex trading strategy, you should have a working knowledge of forex, how the market works, different methods of technical analysis, and knowledge of some of the popular technical studies. A successful trading involves strict guidelines for return on investment as well as an optimized risk management. With the rise of the internet, forex trading is almost instantly. Your online currency trading strategy therefore should be full proof to handle instantaneous decisions.

It is advisable to form the online trading strategy based on some technical analysis, such as, Simple Moving Average (SMA). With huge online and conventional resources, with some research you can understand the theory of many such technical analyses. For example, you can formulate a set of discipline like: if the price of the currency crosses above a 12-period SMA, you will treat it as a signal to buy at the market; when the currency price crosses below the 12-period SMA, you will ‘stop and reverse’. So you will always have either a long or short position after the first signal.

Many seasoned traders combine more than one strategy for their online forex trading. For example, they use SMA and apply other indicators to support their assumptions. These indicators work as a filter for them. You may formulate your online forex trading strategy based on technical analysis to find out support and resistance levels of the market. The market tends to trade above the support levels and below the resistance levels. If you find that a support or resistance level is broken, the market will then follow through in that direction. Therefore, if your online forex trading strategy helps you in finding out these breaks you can invest in the direction of the market.

The best way to be a successful forex trader is to study and get experience. There are many web sites with free articles, seminars, forums, which can help you in developing your own forex trading strategy. Simple logic and rational thought process will strengthen your strategy and earn huge profit from the trading. Few tips for preparing your strategy will be:

· Always trade with the trend.· Never risk all your trading capital in a single trade.· Follow strict discipline to limit your loss.· Whenever you are in doubt, get out of the trade.

In this highly volatile and liquidated forex trading market, a strong strategy, which is free from any emotions, will ensure high profits for you.

To learn more about developing your own Forex strategy please visit
Online Currency Trading Strategy
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Paul_Bryan

Friday, July 13, 2007

Commodity Markets Review

Commodity Markets Review

The problem with having any kind ofpositive view on bond prices and the dollar is that the sum of copper and crude oil has just completed what looked like a crash top/consolidation and is now driving higher. When this happens prices tend to continue to rise for some time and given the inverse relationship between copper and crude oil compared to the TBonds and the DXY... prudence would suggest that bonds and the dollar are going lower. This is why we stressed the 105 level as support for the TBonds on. That and the fact that the U.S. employment data is due out today.

The chart below compares the Chinese equity market (Shanghai Comp.) and Wal Mart (WMT). WMT tends to trend inversely to both the Chinese equity market AND gasoline futures prices (which is why we showed the potential divergence between these two markets on page).

The point here is that WMT isn’t showing any strength as of yet and gasoline futures are still grinding higher. The Chinese equity market looks somewhat suspect but it hard to find conviction without confirmation from the other markets.

Below we show Canada’s West Fraser Timber (WFT on Toronto) and U.S. 3-month TBill yields.

The simple point is that lumber prices tend to rise after the funds rate begins to decline so the share price of WFT tends to be at a low around the end of a Fed rate hike cycle. Similar to the gold/copper ratio on page 1 the market is gradually removing the ‘hope’ that short-term yields will decline as WFT moves lower after rallying late last year.

Short-Term Views

The chart shows in the most basic way possible why we continue to believe that commodity prices are in a down trend. We have argued in the past that the home builders were leading commodity prices and as best as we can tell the home builders are still making new lows. We would expect some sort of bottom for the home builders around the time that stocks like CAT move back below their 200-day e.m.a. lines.

One of our basic views is that on the continuous chart the peak for corn futures prices is made in June or July and if this top is broken after the end of August... one has to get long and stay long corn futures into the middle of the next year. With this in mind we show corn futures and the S&P 500 Index futures below.

Notice that the peak for corn and the SPX have occurred at the same time and that corn prices have turned upwards AFTER the SPX futures have gone on to make new recovery highs. In other words... when the SPX futures break solidly above 1555 recent history argues that it is time to look at long corn futures positions once again.

In yesterday’s issue we mentioned that if the SPX was going to resolve higher KO should make new highs but if this is similar to 1997 then KO would break back below 51. Given our obsessive need to time the markets we wanted to point out that about half way through a ‘top’ the SPX tends to reverse sharply higher and that this appears to have happened in late June. The point is that it could still be about two weeks before we have to really worry about a significant break lower in the SPX.

Kevin Klombies is a prolific writer and market analyst. He graduated in 1980 from the University of Saskatchewan with a Bachelor of Commerce degree (Honours) in Finance/Economics. Click here for full bio >>

Weekly Currency Wrap-up

Weekly Currency Wrap-up

Economic trends in the United States and Eurozone remained a very important influence on the foreign exchange market over the week as bond yields continued to fluctuate.

The U.S. Dollar Index stumbled back to its late April lows early in the week on concerns about the economic outlook but with no major surprises in the U.S. employment report Friday seems to have righted itself to form a double bottom on the daily and weekly charts. It will take a rally above the 83.00 area to confirm the bottom, however.

The U.S. ISM index for the manufacturing sector increased again to 56.0 for June from 55.0 the previous month with orders and production indices remaining firm. The services sector index was also robust with an increase to 60.7 in June, the highest level since April 2006.

The ADP employment report recorded an increase of 150,000 for June, which increased optimism over a solid payroll report. That report did show a 132,000 increase in employment for the month while the May increase was revised up to 190,000 from 157,000. Unemployment held at 4.5% while there was a 0.3% increase in hourly earnings. Of course, there are still concerns surrounding the housing sector as pending home sales weakened, and this curbed optimism over U.S. growth trends.

U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yields fell to the 5.00% level before a recovery back to near 5.20% on Friday as expectations over a cut in interest rates faded again after the generally stronger than expected growth data.

The European Central Bank (ECB) left interest rates on hold at 4.00% following the latest council meeting. In the press conference following the decision, President Trichet stated that the bank would closely monitor inflationary pressure. The comments suggested that the bank will look to increase interest rates in September or October at the latest, especially with Trichet stating that he was not looking to alter market expectations.

The Eurozone retail sales data was weaker than expected with a 0.5% monthly decline for May, cutting annual growth to 0.4%, while German industrial orders were strong for the month.

There was evidence of some stress between the ECB and French President over the issue of exchange rate management with the ECB rejecting calls for a more interventionist policy.

The U.S. dollar was subjected to downward pressure at the end of last week. As confidence deteriorated, the trend continued this week with the U.S. currency weakening to lows beyond 1.3650 against the euro before a tentative recovery to 1.3580 on Friday.

The Bank of England increased interest rates to 5.75% from 5.50% following the latest Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting with rates at the highest level in six years. In the statement following the decision, the bank stated that the medium-term inflation risks were still to the upside, even though the headline inflation rate should move back to the 2.0% level this year. The MPC judged that there was little spare capacity in the economy while money supply and credit growth remained elevated.

The CIPS survey evidence remained firm with an increase in the services index, although there was a small monthly decline in the manufacturing index. There was a solid increase in industrial production.

Sterling pushed to highs around 2.02 against the dollar before a retreat to below 2.01 while Sterling weakened against the euro.


Source: VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software

The Canadian currency continued to draw support from high energy prices with crude oil consistently trading above $70 per barrel during the week.

There was a strong recovery in Canadian building permits for the month, and employment data also recorded an increase of more than 37,000 jobs for June with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.1%. The data reinforced market expectations that the Bank of Canada would increase interest rates in July.

The Canadian dollar was able to resist significant losses against the U.S. currency during the week but hit resistance close to 1.0520.

Carry trades regained influence over the second half of the week. A subdued inflation figure from Switzerland dampened expectations of a more aggressive National Bank stance on interest rates, and the franc was unable to strengthen through the 1.21 level. The yen also came under pressure with lows beyond 123.0 against the dollar and 167.50 against the Euro.


Source: VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software

Formerly editor-in-chief of Futures Magazine, Darrell Jobman has been writing about financial markets for more than 35 years and has become an acknowledged authority on derivative markets, technical analysis and various trading techniques.
Click here for full bio >>

How To Place Orders Effectively With A broker

How to Place Orders

No matter how much analysis you do or how sophisticated your software is, virtually nothing in trading is more critical than entering your orders properly. It is hard enough to determine the trades you want to take. Communicating your trading decision to the market can be another challenge if you are a trading newcomer – unless you work with a broker or experienced trader who can explain the terminology, the strategies and the nuances of the various orders.

Remember, it’s your money the broker is holding so you should be very careful about telling the market what you want to do with your money.

Before discussing the various types of orders, here are a couple of important points:

  1. Not all orders are accepted at all exchanges or by all brokerage firm trading platforms. Check with your broker to be sure which orders you can use for the markets you trade.

  2. Entering a trade is not the end of the order process. Be sure that you get a confirmation that your order has been executed and the price at which the order was filled. That fill shows where you stand in the market and may be the key to followup orders such as stops.

  3. Never assume that a broker or a computer knows what your position is or what you are trying to accomplish. If you say or click “sell” instead of “buy,” your order is likely to get executed, and you may wind up doubling the size of a short position when you thought you were closing out the short position.

  4. Keep your own order log, especially open orders because they may lie in some forgotten queue long after the market has moved away from the area where they were placed and give you a big surprise if they are filled.

Types of Orders

Below are some of the most common types of orders and where you might use them, either to enter or exit a position. To understand the consequences of an order more fully, you may want to work with a broker, at least initially, until placing orders becomes second nature to you.

Market Order
A market order is the most common type of order and should be used whenever you want your order to be executed immediately. You do not have to indicate a specific price because the order will be executed as soon as possible at whatever the next available market price is. Once this order is placed, it cannot be canceled because it is filled immediately.

Keep in mind that the next available price may be far removed from the price at the time you placed your order in wild market conditions. This is known as “slippage” and can be one of the most costly aspects of trading, especially in “thin” markets that may have large price jumps. Do not use “at the market” orders in thin markets or in volatile conditions unless it is imperative that you get into or out of a position at whatever price you can get. Although those situations do exist sometimes, the market may take advantage of you if you resort to the market order.

Market on Close (MOC), Market on Open (MOO)
Some traders call this order “murder on close” or “murder on open” because those typically are the periods of the regular floor trading session when the markets are most active and the odds are higher for the execution price to be away from the posted current price. These are just market orders that must be filled within the price range during the official designated closing or opening time periods. The MOC order may be very useful to close out a day-trading position that you do not want to hold overnight, but keep in mind that it does have its risks.

Limit
A limit order specifies a price limit at which the order must be executed – you get the price you want or better or you don’t get a position. A limit order lets you know the worst price at which your order will be executed. However, you cannot be certain that a limit order will be filled because the market may not trade at your price, or there may be only a few trades at the limit price level you specified and yours is not one of the orders filled. With a limit order, the tradeoff for being sure about the worst price you can get is that you may not get a position at all.

A buy limit order is placed at a price lower than the current market price. A sell limit order is placed at a price higher than the current market price. Some traders add “or better” to a limit order to reinforce their intent, but that is implied in a limit order and is not necessary.

Market If Touched (MIT)
A market-if-touched order combines some features of both the market order and the limit order. Like the limit order, a MIT order may be executed only if the market reaches a particular price. Unlike a limit order, when that price is reached, the MIT order becomes a market order, executed at the next possible price available. That means a MIT order could be executed at the MIT price, at a lower price or at a higher price.

An MIT buy order becomes a market order if and when the market trades at or below the order price. The MIT order does not guarantee that you will buy at the limit price or lower. On the other hand, if the market bounces back above the MIT price, it does get you into a long position whereas a limit order would not.

An MIT sell order becomes a market order if and when the market trades at or above the order price. The MIT order does not guarantee that you will sell at the limit price or higher. If the market falls back below the MIT price, it does get you into a short position whereas a limit order would not.

The advantage of the MIT order is that you know your order will be filled if the MIT price is hit. The disadvantage is that you do not know the worst price at which the MIT order might be executed because it is subject to the same market gyrations as the market order once the MIT price has been reached.

Stop
A “stop” is another common order because traders are always being admonished to trade with stops to protect their accounts. The stop is often used as a protective order, but it is also a good way to get into a new position. A stop order is essentially a market order but only if and when the market reaches a specific price. The specified price acts as the trigger that converts the stop order to a market order. Until and unless that trigger is pulled, your market order stays on the shelf waiting to be activated.

A buy stop order is placed at a price higher than the current market price. It will become a market order to buy only when the market moves up to that price. Like any market order, the trade may be executed at the stop order price, at a lower price or at a higher price, depending on the next best possible price available.

A sell stop order is placed at a price lower than the current market price. It will become a market order to sell only when the market moves down to that price. Like any market order, the trade may be executed at the stop order price, at a lower price or at a higher price, depending on the next best possible price available.


Source: VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software

The chart above will help to illustrate the difference between a limit and a stop order, the most common orders after the market order. You could have taken a long position one of two ways:

  • A buy stop order at the blue line would have become a market order once your stop price was hit. Note that there was some slippage as the market gapped above your stop order, but it did get you into position for the uptrend.

  • A buy limit order at the red line would have gotten you into a long position at that price or lower. If you did not expect prices to dip too far below the earlier lows indicated by the red line support, a buy limit order placed at that level was a good choice. If prices had barely touched the red line, however, the danger is that your limit order might not have been filled at all, and you might have missed the start of the uptrend.

On the other hand, a sell limit order at the blue line would have gotten you into a short position at that price or higher – in this case, much to your chagrin if that is the type of order you chose. A sell stop order at the red line would have become a market order when that price was hit, and you would have been short at the next possible price, which might have been at, above or below the red line stop price – again, not a good thing in this case as the market turned around right after you got into a short position and moved sharply higher. Of course, you probably would have adjusted your orders to offset that position before losses mounted too high.

Stop Close Only
Like a market on close order, this variation of a stop order limits the time of execution to the closing trading range. If the stop is hit prior to that that time, the order is not executed. If the market is trading higher than the buy stop price or lower than the sell stop price during the closing range, the order becomes a market order and is filled at the best possible price.

Stop Limit Order
If the stop order sometimes serves as a protective order, then the stop limit order acts as sort of a protective order for the stop. Because stop orders become market orders when the specified stop price is hit, the order can be filled at almost any price. When a surprise news event hits the market, for example, prices can make a huge jump. Or when the market approaches a critical chart point that suggests a breakout, numerous stop orders may be sitting above or below that point and may create temporary erratic price movements if the stop is hit.

You may be one of those with a sitting order waiting for the breakout, too, but you are not willing to pay any price to get onboard. A stop limit order acts like a stop order in every way except for one provision: You will not accept a price that is worse than the limit stated. Like any limit order, the risk is that you never get onboard a runaway market that never looks back.

Cancel, Cancel Former Order, Cancel/Replace
All of these orders cancel previous orders, provided, of course, that you enter them before the original order has been executed. Several notes about cancel orders:

  • You cannot cancel a market order; it should already have been executed.

  • Many electronic markets do not allow “good ‘til cancel” orders. You have to enter a new order such as a stop every day.

  • In some markets any “open” or “good ’til cancel” order remains active until it is filled, you cancel it, or the contract expires; it does not go away because you may have forgotten about it or because you may have thought you were offsetting it with a different order later.

  • If there is any question as to whether an order has been canceled, contact your broker immediately; if a cancel order is too late, you may wind up with two positions instead of one or you may be holding a position you never expected.

One Cancels Other (OCO)
A one-order-cancels-the-other-order is a two-sided order that is sometimes used to bracket a price range when you are unsure about the price direction and want to go with the breakout either way. You could place two separate orders in this situation, but the problem is that both might be filled in a swinging market. You could be locked into a quick loss or wind up with a larger position than you wanted or just become totally confused.

For example, you may have decided that you want to be short a market so you enter an OCO order – one limit order above the current price to sell in case prices go up and one stop order below the current price to sell in case prices slide through some point. You only want one position, but you want to be prepared for either eventuality. Your OCO order tells the broker to fill one order, not both of them, to get you short whichever way prices move.

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